RAINFALL AND TEMPERATURE DYNAMICS IN THE CONTEXT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE SUDAN SAVANNA ECOLOGICAL ZONE OF KATSINA STATE, NIGERIA
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.33003/jees.2024.0102/08Keywords:
Climate Change, Trends, Rainfall, Temperature, Sudan SavannaAbstract
This research explored the dynamics of rainfall and temperature patterns in the context of climate change within the Sudan savanna ecological zone of Katsina State, Nigeria. The study analyzed rainfall and temperature data spanning 60 years (1961-2020). Linear regression, standard deviation, and second-order polynomial curve fitting were used to determine the trend of the climate data. Cramer’s test was used to determine the decadal rainfall and temperature trend. The study period was further subdivided into two non-overlapping climatic subperiods (1961-1990 and 1991-2020), and the students’ t-test (td) was used to determine the relative contribution of the two subperiods to the rainfall and temperature features of the study area. The trend analysis results revealed increased rainfall and temperature in recent years. The Cramer’s and t-test findings indicated a significant rise in monthly and annual rainfall and temperature over the last three decades, underscoring clear evidence of climate change in the study area. These changes highlight the substantial ecological alterations driven by rising global temperatures, threatening the survival of the human race. The study emphasized that awareness programmes on recent changes in temperature and rainfall should be enhanced; greenhouse gas emissions in the atmosphere that have warming effect should be reduced; and government policies related to agriculture, water resources, and other related sectors should take into account the increasing nature of temperature and rainfall amount in recent years.
References
Abaje, I.B. & Giwa, P.N. (2010). Flood risk assessment and vulnerability in Kafanchan town, Jema’a local government area of Kaduna State, Nigeria. International Journal of Sustainable Development, 3(1), 94-100.
Abaje, I.B. (2007). Introduction to Soils and Vegetation. Kafanchan: Personal Touch Productions.
Abaje, I.B. (2023). Geo-Statistical Analysis of Meteorological Drought and Recurrence Intervals in the Context of Climate Change Over Extreme Northeastern Region of Nigeria. Tanzania Journal of Science, 49 (1), 152–166. DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.4314/tjs.v49i1.14
Abaje, I.B. and Oladipo, E.O. (2019). Recent Changes in the Temperature and Rainfall Conditions Over Kaduna State, Nigeria. Ghana Journal of Geography, 11 (2), 127-157. https://www.ajol.info/index.php/gjg/article/view/191996/181128
Abaje, I.B., Achiebo, P.J. and Matazu, M.B. (2018). Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Rainfall Distribution in Kaduna State, Nigeria. Ghana Journal of Geography, 10 (1), 1-21. DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.4314/gjg.v10i1.1.
Abaje, I.B., Ati, O.F. & Iguisi, E.O. (2012). Recent trends and fluctuations of annual rainfall in the Sudano-Sahelian ecological zone of Nigeria: Risks and Opportunities. Journal of Sustainable Society, 1(2), 44-51.
Abaje, I.B., Sawa, B.A. & Ati, O.F. (2014). Climate variability and change, Impacts and adaptation strategies in Dutsin-Ma Local Government Area of Katsina State, Nigeria. Journal of Geography and Geology, 6 (2), 103-112.
94
Ati, O.F., Aremu, K., Olatunde, A.F., Abaje, I.B. and Oladipo, E.O. (2022). Meteorological Drought and Temperature in Sudano-Sahelian Region of Nigeria under Increasing Global Warming. In S.A. Harris (Ed.), The Nature, Causes, Effects and Mitigation of Climate Change on the Environment. https://doi.org/10.5772/intechopen.94777. London: Intechopen Limited.
IPCC (2014). Summary for policymakers. In Field, C.B., Barros, V.R., Dokken, D.J., Mach, K.J., Mastrandrea, M.D., Bilir, T.E., ….White, L.L. (Eds.). Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability (pp. 1-32.). Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
IPCC. (2019). WGIII. A Contribution of Working Group III Assessment Report by Working Group III (WG III). An assessment of options for adapting and mitigating climate challenges through limiting or preventing Greenhouse emissions.
IPCC. (2021). AR6 Synthesis Report. A Contribution of Sixth Assessment Report by working Group III. Assesses options for mitigating climate challenges through limiting or preventing Greenhouse emissions.
Lawal, A. and Yahaya, Z.I. (2018). Perspectives of Farming Communities on Effect of Desertification and Climate Change on Woody Vegetation in Semi-Arid Areas of Katsina State Dutse Journal of Pure and Applied Sciences (DUJOPAS), Vol. 4 No. 2 December 2018.
Nigerian Meteorological Agency, NiMet (2012). 2012 Nigeria Climate Review (59 pp.). Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET), Abuja.
Nigerian Meteorological Agency, NiMet (2015). Evidence of climate change. 2015 Nigeria Climate Review Bulletin (pp 3-8). Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), Abuja.
Nigerian Meteorological Agency, NiMet (2016). Evidence of climate Change. 2016 Nigeria Climate Review Bulletin, (pp 5-11). Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), Abuja.
Nigerian Meteorological Agency, NiMet (2017). Evidence of climate change. Climate Review Bulletin 2017, (pp 2-12). Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), Abuja.
Odekunle, T. O., Andrew, O., &Aremu, S. O. (2012). Towards a wetter Sudano-Sahelian ecological zone in twenty-first century Nigeria. Weather, 63(3), 66-70.